Research preview. Probability-based market research - not investment advice, not operational instructions, no guaranteed outcomes.
BrainEdge · Crypto Market Probability Dashboard
Crypto market probability dashboard, built with transparent out-of-sample validation.
Closed candles onlyWalk-forward testedNo trading advice
Next forecasts
BTC/USD
$86,216
● model reference price
next 4h
◆ flat
50%
next 24h
◆ flat
51%
R 89,311
85,49886,934
S1 85,650 (-0.7%)
Forecast
next 4h: flat 50% · next 24h: flat 51%
Market structure
in the middle of the range
Conviction
low
Readout: BTC is in the middle of the range. The 24h probability is balanced at 51%; model conviction is low under the published thresholds.
in the middle of the range — in this zone, historically: touched the ceiling 5% · touched the floor 6% · ended higher 51% (n=14,643)
in the middle of the range — in this zone, historically: touched the ceiling 5% · touched the floor 6% · ended higher 51% (n=14,643)
updated 05/10/2026, 14:44 UTC · valid until 16:00 UTC
ETH/USD
$2,718
● model reference price
next 4h
◆ flat
51%
next 24h
▲ up
54%
R 2,721
2,6932,743
S1 2,651 (-2.5%)
Forecast
next 4h: flat 51% · next 24h: up 54%
Market structure
in the middle of the range
Conviction
low
Readout: ETH is in the middle of the range. The 24h upside probability is 54%; model conviction is low under the published thresholds.
in the middle of the range — in this zone, historically: touched the ceiling 5% · touched the floor 6% · ended higher 51% (n=14,770)
in the middle of the range — in this zone, historically: touched the ceiling 5% · touched the floor 6% · ended higher 51% (n=14,770)
updated 05/10/2026, 14:44 UTC · valid until 16:00 UTC
XRP/USD
$1.5185
● model reference price
next 4h
▼ down
52%
next 24h
▼ down
52%
R 1.6581
1.49811.5389
S1 1.4742 (-2.9%)
Forecast
next 4h: down 52% · next 24h: down 52%
Market structure
in the middle of the range
Conviction
low
Readout: XRP is in the middle of the range. The 24h downside probability is 52%; model conviction is low under the published thresholds.
in the middle of the range — in this zone, historically: touched the ceiling 5% · touched the floor 6% · ended higher 50% (n=14,494)
in the middle of the range — in this zone, historically: touched the ceiling 5% · touched the floor 6% · ended higher 50% (n=14,494)
updated 05/10/2026, 14:44 UTC · valid until 16:00 UTC
Scoreboard: BTC 49.8% directional accuracy (641 out-of-sample days) · ETH 48.4% directional accuracy (641 out-of-sample days) · XRP 51.6% directional accuracy (641 out-of-sample days)