Research preview. Probability-based market research - not investment advice, not operational instructions, no guaranteed outcomes.
BrainEdge · Crypto Market Probability Dashboard
Crypto market probability dashboard, built with transparent out-of-sample validation.
Closed candles onlyWalk-forward testedNo trading advice
Next forecasts
BTC/USD
$63,631
● model reference price
next 4h
▲ up
52%
next 24h
▼ down
52%
R 64,010
63,29763,965
S1 60,861 (-4.4%)
Forecast
next 4h: up 52% · next 24h: down 52%
Market structure
in the middle of the range
Conviction
low
Readout: BTC is in the middle of the range. The 24h downside probability is 52%; model conviction is low under the published thresholds.
in the middle of the range — in this zone, historically: touched the ceiling 5% · touched the floor 6% · ended higher 51% (n=14,028)
in the middle of the range — in this zone, historically: touched the ceiling 5% · touched the floor 6% · ended higher 51% (n=14,028)
updated 17/08/2026, 13:51 UTC · valid until 16:00 UTC
ETH/USD
$1,904
● model reference price
next 4h
◆ flat
52%
next 24h
◆ flat
50%
R 1,967
1,8911,918
S1 1,873 (-1.6%)
Forecast
next 4h: flat 52% · next 24h: flat 50%
Market structure
in the middle of the range
Conviction
low
Readout: ETH is in the middle of the range. The 24h probability is balanced at 50%; model conviction is low under the published thresholds.
in the middle of the range — in this zone, historically: touched the ceiling 5% · touched the floor 7% · ended higher 50% (n=14,167)
in the middle of the range — in this zone, historically: touched the ceiling 5% · touched the floor 7% · ended higher 50% (n=14,167)
updated 17/08/2026, 13:51 UTC · valid until 16:00 UTC
XRP/USD
$1.0004
● model reference price
next 4h
◆ flat
51%
next 24h
▼ down
56%
R 1.0122
0.99271.0081
S1 0.9991 (-0.1%)
Forecast
next 4h: flat 51% · next 24h: down 56%
Market structure
in the middle of the range
Conviction
medium
Readout: XRP is in the middle of the range. The 24h downside probability is 56%; model conviction is medium under the published thresholds.
in the middle of the range — in this zone, historically: touched the ceiling 5% · touched the floor 6% · ended higher 49% (n=13,897)
in the middle of the range — in this zone, historically: touched the ceiling 5% · touched the floor 6% · ended higher 49% (n=13,897)
updated 17/08/2026, 13:51 UTC · valid until 16:00 UTC
Scoreboard: BTC 50.0% directional accuracy (592 out-of-sample days) · ETH 48.1% directional accuracy (592 out-of-sample days) · XRP 52.2% directional accuracy (592 out-of-sample days)